Supercycle Candidates
Supercycles — like memory (Micron, SanDisk) and semi-cap equipment (Applied Materials) in 2024–2026 — start months before the move is obvious. This scanner ranks the whole market on a composite of the five forces that precede them: fundamental acceleration (revenue YoY, margin expansion, inventory drawdown), earnings & estimate momentum, price leadership, and confirmation (unusual options flow, congressional buys, squeeze fuel). Only names above a conviction threshold are surfaced — so quiet days show few or none, on purpose.
Ideas tracked (50d)
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Win rate
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Avg return
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Best idea
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Worst idea
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◆ Supercycle Candidates — Today
Educational only — not investment advice · for analysis purposes only
MGNI
Long LEAPS Call
Magnite, Inc.
Spot price: $24.32
PrimaryLong $24 call
ExpirationMay 21, 2027 (288d)
AltLong shares
Supercycle score 77/100 (Technology). Drivers: 3 straight EPS beats; EPS +200% YoY; +70% over 3 months; +70% vs peer median (3m); 85% of 52-week range. Months-long thesis → buy the ~9-month $24 call; equity alternative: long shares at $24.32.
ABCL
Long LEAPS Call
AbCellera Biologics Inc.
Spot price: $6.49
PrimaryLong $6 call
ExpirationMay 21, 2027 (288d)
AltLong shares
Supercycle score 69/100 (Health Care). Drivers: revenue +96% YoY; 3 straight EPS beats; +69% to analyst target; +22% over 3 months; +23% vs peer median (3m). Months-long thesis → buy the ~9-month $6 call; equity alternative: long shares at $6.49.
QURE
Long LEAPS Call
uniQure N.V.
Spot price: $46.50
PrimaryLong $46 call
ExpirationMay 21, 2027 (288d)
AltLong shares
Supercycle score 69/100 (Health Care). Drivers: revenue +127% YoY; 3 straight EPS beats; +68% over 3 months; +69% vs peer median (3m); 60% of 52-week range. Months-long thesis → buy the ~9-month $46 call; equity alternative: long shares at $46.50.
Composite Score Leaderboard
Whole-market scan ranked by supercycle composite (0–100) · liquidity-filtered (≥$500M cap, ≥$5) · sortable| Ticker | Sector | Industry | 52-Week Range | Score | Fund | Earn | Lead | Conf | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGNI | Technology | Computer Software: Progra… |
$10.82
$26.65
|
77 | 75 | 96 | 42 | 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +200% YoY · +70% over 3 months · +70% vs peer median (3m) · 85… | |
| ABCL | Health Care | Biotechnology: Pharmaceut… |
$2.33
$6.79
|
69 | 100 | 52 | 67 | 42 | revenue +96% YoY · 3 straight EPS beats · +69% to analyst target · +22% over 3 months · +… |
| QURE | Health Care | Biotechnology: Pharmaceut… |
$8.73
$71.50
|
69 | 100 | 25 | 89 | 42 | revenue +127% YoY · 3 straight EPS beats · +68% over 3 months · +69% vs peer median (3m) … |
| COMP | Technology | EDP Services |
$5.87
$13.96
|
67 | 100 | 35 | 69 | 50 | revenue +99% YoY · EPS +133% YoY · +44% over 3 months · +45% vs peer median (3m) · 83% of… |
| SSRM | Industrials | Precious Metals |
$11.70
$36.52
|
63 | 100 | 75 | 27 | 42 | revenue +84% YoY · inventory days drawing down (155→81d) · 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +29… |
| SITM | Technology | Semiconductors |
$186.49
$901.81
|
61 | 86 | 70 | 39 | 42 | revenue +88% YoY · gross margin +866bps YoY (50%→59%) · inventory days drawing down (123→… |
| ATRC | Health Care | Medical/Dental Instruments |
$25.36
$43.18
|
61 | 56 | 74 | 42 | 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +100% YoY · +20% to analyst target · +50% over 3 months · +51%… | |
| ZVRA | Health Care | Biotechnology: Pharmaceut… |
$7.16
$13.16
|
60 | 68 | 75 | 48 | 42 | revenue +78% YoY · inventory days drawing down (11→6d) · 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +400%… |
| ALB | Industrials | Major Chemicals |
$55.90
$221.00
|
59 | 80 | 83 | 13 | 67 | revenue +33% YoY · gross margin +2055bps YoY (15%→35%) · inventory days drawing down (138… |
| TLN | Utilities | Electric Utilities: Centr… |
$246.95
$451.28
|
57 | 100 | 67 | 15 | 42 | revenue +189% YoY · inventory days drawing down (51→19d) · 2 straight EPS beats · EPS +57… |
| ARLO | Consumer Staples | Consumer Electronics/Appl… |
$11.05
$19.94
|
56 | 76 | 47 | 42 | 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +1000% YoY · +31% to analyst target · +11% over 3 months · +12… | |
| HUT | Finance | Finance: Consumer Services |
$15.26
$140.80
|
55 | 100 | 28 | 39 | 42 | revenue +226% YoY · 2 straight EPS beats · EPS +33% YoY · 60% of 52-week range |
| SNDK | Technology | Electronic Components |
$37.33
$1861.00
|
54 | 100 | 17 | 46 | 42 | revenue +251% YoY · growth accelerating (+61%→+251% YoY) · gross margin +5582bps YoY (23%… |
| W | Consumer Discreti… | Catalog/Specialty Distrib… |
$43.70
$119.98
|
54 | 33 | 78 | 42 | 2 straight EPS beats · +57% over 3 months · +58% vs peer median (3m) · 80% of 52-week ran… | |
| KLIC | Technology | Semiconductors |
$31.32
$110.78
|
54 | 73 | 67 | 31 | 42 | revenue +50% YoY · growth accelerating (+20%→+50% YoY) · gross margin +2441bps YoY (25%→4… |
| BMA | Finance | Commercial Banks |
$38.30
$106.15
|
54 | 72 | 45 | 42 | EPS +166% YoY · +41% to analyst target · +17% over 3 months · +18% vs peer median (3m) · … | |
| NVDA | Technology | Semiconductors |
$138.83
$236.54
|
52 | 69 | 56 | 38 | 42 | revenue +85% YoY · gross margin +1441bps YoY (61%→75%) · EPS +143% YoY · 82% of 52-week r… |
| GNK | Consumer Discreti… | Marine Transportation |
$12.84
$27.25
|
52 | 65 | 67 | 32 | 42 | revenue +61% YoY · inventory days drawing down (29→18d) · 2 straight EPS beats · EPS +193… |
| VCYT | Health Care | Medical Specialities |
$22.61
$50.71
|
52 | 60 | 50 | 42 | 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +106% YoY · +14% over 3 months · +15% vs peer median (3m) · 84… | |
| CMCO | Industrials | Construction/Ag Equipment… |
$12.82
$24.40
|
52 | 52 | 56 | 42 | 2 straight EPS beats · +28% to analyst target · +30% over 3 months · +31% vs peer median … | |
| DMRA | Health Care | Biotechnology: Pharmaceut… |
$2.45
$38.33
|
51 | 48 | 58 | 44 | EPS +68% YoY · +51% to analyst target · +24% over 3 months · +24% vs peer median (3m) · 7… | |
| NEXA | Basic Materials | Metal Mining |
$4.44
$16.89
|
51 | 75 | 35 | 42 | 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +319% YoY · 78% of 52-week range | |
| SM | Energy | Oil & Gas Production |
$17.45
$35.88
|
51 | 94 | 25 | 34 | 42 | revenue +75% YoY · 3 straight EPS beats · 62% of 52-week range |
| ASTH | Consumer Discreti… | Professional Services |
$18.08
$39.93
|
50 | 63 | 44 | 42 | EPS +429% YoY · +29% to analyst target · 77% of 52-week range | |
| LSCC | Technology | Semiconductors |
$46.05
$155.82
|
50 | 58 | 48 | 42 | EPS +200% YoY · 78% of 52-week range | |
| LITE | Telecommunications | Telecommunications Equipm… |
$80.39
$1085.68
|
50 | 67 | 39 | 42 | 2 straight EPS beats · EPS +727% YoY · 76% of 52-week range | |
| EVR | Finance | Investment Managers |
$232.29
$388.71
|
50 | 100 | 33 | 16 | 42 | revenue +100% YoY · 2 straight EPS beats |
| OMC | Consumer Discreti… | Advertising |
$66.33
$87.17
|
49 | 87 | 17 | 43 | 42 | revenue +69% YoY · 78% of 52-week range |
| NBIX | Health Care | Biotechnology: Biological… |
$122.14
$168.00
|
48 | 67 | 37 | 42 | 2 straight EPS beats · EPS +1662% YoY · 89% of 52-week range | |
| FIGS | Consumer Discreti… | Apparel |
$4.98
$17.48
|
48 | 50 | 50 | 42 | 3 straight EPS beats · +15% over 3 months · +16% vs peer median (3m) · 72% of 52-week ran… | |
| STNG | Consumer Discreti… | Marine Transportation |
$38.67
$87.39
|
48 | 75 | 29 | 42 | 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +193% YoY · 77% of 52-week range | |
| TGB | Basic Materials | Precious Metals |
$2.53
$9.25
|
48 | 58 | 42 | 42 | EPS +700% YoY · +10% over 3 months · +11% vs peer median (3m) · 82% of 52-week range | |
| PDFS | Technology | Computer Software: Prepac… |
$18.12
$56.95
|
47 | 67 | 36 | 33 | 2 straight EPS beats · EPS +300% YoY · 72% of 52-week range | |
| ARGX | Health Care | Biotechnology: Biological… |
$510.06
$934.62
|
46 | 55 | 41 | 42 | 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +114% YoY · +16% to analyst target · +12% over 3 months · +12%… | |
| FDX | Consumer Discreti… | Air Freight/Delivery Serv… |
$174.13
$341.14
|
46 | 62 | 34 | 42 | 2 straight EPS beats · +36% to analyst target · 85% of 52-week range | |
| CVE | Energy | Oil & Gas Production |
$13.03
$32.07
|
46 | 52 | 42 | 42 | 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +91% YoY · +19% to analyst target · 80% of 52-week range | |
| CENX | Industrials | Aluminum |
$16.59
$70.43
|
45 | 67 | 17 | 67 | EPS +279% YoY · +67% to analyst target · unusual bullish options flow | |
| SVM | Basic Materials | Precious Metals |
$3.96
$15.77
|
45 | 78 | 20 | 42 | 2 straight EPS beats · EPS +286% YoY · +43% to analyst target · 57% of 52-week range | |
| TNK | Consumer Discreti… | Marine Transportation |
$41.05
$83.99
|
45 | 67 | 29 | 42 | 2 straight EPS beats · EPS +205% YoY · 84% of 52-week range | |
| B | Basic Materials | Precious Metals |
$19.57
$54.69
|
45 | 72 | 23 | 42 | EPS +180% YoY · +40% to analyst target · 62% of 52-week range | |
| DIOD | Technology | Semiconductors |
$42.28
$121.96
|
45 | 54 | 39 | 42 | EPS +126% YoY · +30% to analyst target · 71% of 52-week range | |
| ESLT | Industrials | Military/Government/Techn… |
$407.76
$1016.06
|
44 | 42 | 47 | 42 | 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +45% YoY · +18% to analyst target · +10% vs peer median (3m) ·… | |
| GPRE | Industrials | Major Chemicals |
$3.97
$18.94
|
44 | 50 | 58 | 27 | 42 | revenue -26% YoY · gross margin +1922bps YoY (1%→20%) · EPS +148% YoY · 75% of 52-week ra… |
| FNV | Basic Materials | Precious Metals |
$152.89
$285.67
|
44 | 66 | 26 | 42 | 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +122% YoY · 58% of 52-week range | |
| BWAY | Health Care | Medical/Dental Instruments |
$5.11
$17.35
|
43 | 57 | 33 | 42 | 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +200% YoY · +9% to analyst target · 86% of 52-week range | |
| APEI | Real Estate | Other Consumer Services |
$25.80
$61.59
|
43 | 64 | 27 | 42 | 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +129% YoY · +22% to analyst target · 70% of 52-week range | |
| HBM | Basic Materials | Metal Mining |
$8.93
$32.15
|
43 | 33 | 39 | 67 | 2 straight EPS beats · 73% of 52-week range · unusual bullish options flow | |
| TAK | Health Care | Biotechnology: Pharmaceut… |
$12.99
$18.90
|
43 | 42 | 32 | 67 | 2 straight EPS beats · EPS +75% YoY · 68% of 52-week range · unusual bullish options flow | |
| ARCO | Consumer Discreti… | Restaurants |
$6.51
$9.75
|
42 | 69 | 20 | 42 | 2 straight EPS beats · EPS +143% YoY · +32% to analyst target · 56% of 52-week range | |
| NVST | Health Care | Medical/Dental Instruments |
$18.25
$30.42
|
42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 3 straight EPS beats · EPS +50% YoY · +13% over 3 months · +13% vs peer median (3m) · 75%… |
▸ Show past trade ideas (3 total · last 50 days) 0 resolved · 0.00 win · 0.00% avg
| Date | # | Ticker | Category | Action | Strike | Exp | Status | Entry | Now/Final | Return | Catalyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25 | 1 | SITM | SUPERCYCLE | Long LEAPS Call | $690 | Mar 19 | OPEN | $691.74 | — | — | Supercycle score 76/100 |
| Jun 25 | 2 | HUT | SUPERCYCLE | Long LEAPS Call | $115 | Mar 19 | OPEN | $114.19 | — | — | Supercycle score 71/100 |
| Jun 25 | 3 | QURE | SUPERCYCLE | Long LEAPS Call | $50 | Mar 19 | OPEN | $49.62 | — | — | Supercycle score 71/100 |
Evidence Behind This Strategy
CAGR lift vs equal-weight:
+0.213
Sharpe 1.66 vs 1.77
▸ Show methodology
Small sample: only 5 rebalances (263 sessions). Walk-forward window is ~1 year. Pattern may not persist out-of-sample.
Walk-forward backtest
| Metric | Strategy (top-15) | Baseline (equal-wt) |
|---|---|---|
| Total return | 0.355 | 0.132 |
| CAGR | 0.339 | 0.127 |
| Max drawdown | -0.184 | -0.113 |
| Sharpe (annualized) | 1.66 | 1.77 |
Recent monthly holdings
- 2026-02-28: NUAI, SNDK, HYMC, BW, CELC, AXTI, BNAI, DMRA
- 2026-03-31: SNDK, AXTI, HYMC, BNAI, NUAI, DMRA, ERAS, RLMD
- 2026-04-30: DUKR, BNAI, AXTI, ERAS, SPRB, PRAX, DMRA, SNDK
- 2026-05-31: DUKR, AXTI, MTC, EDSA, SNDK, BNAI, CAPR, ALMS
Method
Whole-market cross-section from DailyClose. At each month-end, rank by trailing 126-day momentum (the reconstructable price-leadership slice of the composite score); hold top-15 equal-weighted next month vs equal-weight-all baseline.